Updating the State of Emergency for the Old Normal

DBS

Updating the State of Emergency for the Old Normal

(AKA ‘If you let government remove your freedoms during an emergency, they’ll just invent new emergencies’)

Several jurisdictions recently (October, November 2022) added ‘RSV’ (respiratory syncytial virus) and influenza to the COVID19 list of emergencies covered by their Emergency preparedness plans.  As expected, it is due to health systems being ‘overwhelmed’ without warning.  Don’t be surprised when this pops up in your area.  If only we didn’t have to wait for our incompetent health officers to mandate lockdowns and masks earlier and harder, maybe we’d be safer.  Maybe in the future the WHO will save us from our pesky ‘democratic’ processes like has been done in the past 2.5 years.  Picture in another decade, young people will never have known a ‘normal’ system – they just got overwhelmed suddenly, till the WHO treaty saved us all, else the next one would have been worse.  That history will be easily-written so that the 2020-2030 period will be officially recorded as a time of chaos and transition from the old, messy unsafe world to a new, safe and scientific one.

 Just to remind myself how the old-normal used to work, I did a sanity check on where these illnesses fall in relation to C19 in terms of fatality rates/risk.  I do this each time something gets announced as ‘new’ and ‘overwhelming’ and ‘deadly’ knowing that I’ll never get to have a discussion with anyone in public or thru friends/family.  I find once you dig or point out data or questions one or two layers deep, beyond the MSM narrative, that 100% of people either want to change the subject or just get mad at you.  It hasn’t worked starting with the first time I did this in April 2020 once the IFR and mortality age-profile was known and published with hard data.  So now I just do it to make sure what the real situation is, versus what the politically-correct version is.  I always start out with an analysis, then I go through a state of not caring since ‘they’ will just create a narrative based on fear, and the public will just go along.  What’s the point of knowing or analyzing what is really going on when 90% or more of the public will never know what’s being done to them on purpose?  Any attempt at explaining or questioning any of these events over the past 2.5 years always leads to (if it ever gets there) the ‘trust your government’ default position.  Most outsource the majority of their thinking out of laziness or practicality – if they can defer thinking to the level where their start point is ‘government is always right’, then they can (1) fit in with the majority and (2) not bother to dig more than one layer down in to any topic the MSM is shoving down their throats.

But still I need to do this for my own sanity.

(Me playing dumb vs. informed citizens):

‘Didn’t we (the West) remove the previous democratically-elected leader of Ukraine in a 2014 coup?’  “But Putin is evil!”

‘Wasn’t our pandemic plan up till 2020 to isolate the vulnerable and keep the majority of society calm and as normal as possible?’  “But people are dying!”

‘Haven’t we had our hospital capacity low for decades and known about this?’  “But our hospital beds are overwhelmed!”

Now add: ‘Isn’t the mortality rate and risk of RSV similar to a typical flu?  And don’t we deal with this every year?’  “Do you want people to die?”

Colorado is a recent example. In early November 2022, the MSM blasted all over that their hospitals are at capacity already (flu season still coming in January).  This trend has been known for decades – and bed capacity per capita per season is completely predictable.  Yet suddenly, once again, ‘oh no, we’re overwhelmed’, ‘We can’t find staff’ etc. So, Colorado simply decreed that they are adding RSV and influenza to their Emergency status already covering C19.  That is, they can use any and all special emergency powers as applied during the C19 ‘emergency’ to RSV and influenza.

You can read the updated Executive Order here.  Basically these illnesses are now suddenly ‘threats’ and ‘disasters’ that need special Emergency powers to combat.  Such ‘war-footing’ language used yet again to increase anxiety and fear in the public beyond what reality is.  (Reminder to read about the psychological ‘nudge’ to increase fear per Laura Dodsworth’s ‘State of Fear’).

Excerpts from the Colorado update:

Again none of this is new or surprising.  A low-mortality respiratory virus, which is known and tracked for decades in terms of mortality, hospitalization rates, etc., similar to flu, ‘suddenly’ pops up as an emergency/disaster?  Oh, right we’ve only had years to prepare, we didn’t see this coming.

We can put this aspect aside for now too (from England but same applies to most Western jurisdictions).  ‘But it’s not beds it’s staff!’ Tens of billions of dollars can be mustered and sent for a war, but we can’t solve this problem at all:

Back to the sanity-check.  RSV, influenza, and other respiratory diseases have a predictable, measurable, trackable trend for mortality, hospitalizations, and cases.  A quick search yields studies such as this one, where groups recorded and sorted such data for a 19 year period from 1999 to 2018 in the US. 

‘Question “What was the excess mortality from respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and influenza in the US from 1999 to 2018?” ‘

This study includes analyzing cause of death for over 50 million people over this period.  (Roughly 0.85% of the US population dies each year, approximately 2.8 million deaths based on 320 million people (varied from 1999 to 2018 but close enough).  This paper included mortality rates from the main influenza strains and even the 2009 ‘pandemic’.

Main conclusions were that RSV is/was more dangerous to infants, but the overall mortality profile is similar to influenza.  The annual mortality average for RSV ranged from 6,549-23,352, compared to influenza at 10,171-27,171 deaths annually (depending on how the death was categorized).

As with C19 and influenza, the age-profile of the fatality rates is important.  This paper uses crude mortality, or population fatality, rates of mortality per 100,000 population.  It has already been established that the infection fatality rate (IFR) for C19 is similar to influenza, maybe two to five times worse in the first wave, with a sharper age profile towards the elderly.  This even includes the whole ‘any death for any reason with a +ve C19 PCR test’ over-counting.  So, it is fair to look at the mortality rate profiles for RSV and influenza in this paper knowing C19 mortality is now similar since the latter variants are less lethal.

Page 5 of the report shows how repeatable and consistent the patterns for cases and deaths are for all causes of respiratory illnesses.  Keep in mind these are all true ‘cases’ (from the pre-2020 era of ‘science’), in that these are people who are sick with ILI (influenza-like-illness) symptoms, then are tested with targeted PCR, antigen, or some other method, to pinpoint the exact virus.  (For 2020 and later, it was PCR cycled over 35 times to catch only SARSCOV2 virus in ANYTHING).

Then, pages 6 and 7 show the overall mortality rates in various groups of ‘underlying causes’.  Taking the central list of ‘Respiratory’ as cause, we can see that RSV is overall milder than influenza at 2.2 per 100k versus 3.4 per 100k.  For children under 1, RSV is higher but still it is a low overall mortality rate, and, influenza still kills more overall.

The ‘all causes’ portion of the table shows the worst-case figures, if the underlying cause is a combination of these.  The overall rates are 7.8/100k (0.008%) for RSV and 9.0/100k for influenza (0.009%).  It’s difficult to compare for C19 since all respiratory deaths (and others) were counted as C19 since that was all the test would confirm.  For Canada, for example, this was 15,000 deaths in 2020, for a fatality rate of 15,000/37 million = 0.04%, or 40/100k.  That’s more than 5 times worse than RSV or influenza, but less if we take the ‘any death for any reason with a +ve C19 PCR test.  And, that was for the higher-fatality rate original strain and Delta.  Newer strains like Omicron have fatality rates similar to or lower than RSV.

My math comparisons may not be exact, but still the main points are – this is all completely predictable and known, and, the mortality rates are relatively low compared to other causes of deaths and hospitalizations.  The stats and patterns for these do not change.  And we have done zero to prepare for this aside from ‘we’re overwhelmed again’ Emergency mode.

Recall that this time last year, in October 2021, the ‘hospitals overwhelmed’ status (like in British Columbia), was constantly drummed out in order to shame those responsible for the ‘pandemic of the unvaccinated’.  ‘Unvaccinated people continue to be largely responsible for much of the disease’s spread, and Dix, at his press conference, once again referred to the fourth wave of COVID-19 as the “pandemic of the unvaccinated.”’

At that time, hospitals were not yet ‘overwhelmed’, but the press conferences were used for the same effect – highlight the stress and fear that we are about to be overwhelmed, then point to the dirty selfish group (the enemy) responsible.  Exactly the way to keep society calm and cohesive, right?

We may not get this exact scenario in all jurisdictions, but the similarities of the narratives all over and all at the same time yet again seem to be scripted, as with the ‘waves’ of the past 2.5 years.